Archive for the ‘Global Risk Review’ Category

Complex Environmental Challenges-Need for Integrated Risk Council

Earth’s environment has probably been changing for years due to many reasons- some reasons that are known and understood by scientific community and some reasons that are not known and which scientific community is still trying to understand- Some environmental changes that are internal changes and some that are external changes. The question is whether all these known-unknowns as well as internal-external changes happening in earth’s environment should be considered normal, common as well as cyclical- Nations need to evaluate this in a collective non partisan way. It is important that nations understand earth as well as its environment, its dependencies in the emerging global age- And to understand earth, its systems, its environment, its dependencies, what impacts earth and its environment’s balance as well as the underlying science in a non partisan neutral manner has become very important for every nation today.

Over the last few years, nations have witnessed increasingly heated debate on the role of humans as well as nations industries in alleged deterioration of earth’s environment. Although the role of humans and industries has been questioned by many, the question is, whether scientific community can say with certainty that these environmental changes are not due to natural or other unknown reasons and that their scientific conclusions are not tainted by their political ideology. This makes it absolutely essential that nations do critical risk centric assessment of their science findings that has such broad and significant impact across nations.

Environmental changes have occurred in the past, are occurring now and probably will occur in the future due to various known and unknown factors. Some unknowns that nations and its scientists will be able to figure out and understand; and many more unknowns that nations and its scientists will probably never be able to figure out and understand-

At this point, nations probably can neither agree nor disagree with the so called global warming hypothesis or climate change theories decisively. Nor can nations agree or disagree on the proposed climate change solutions that are being proposed today as the scientific information in totality is not sufficient for any nation to come to an informed conclusion. What is probably clear at this point is that the complex environmental challenges makes it essential for nations to have a fundamental integrated risk governance framework that can not only identify critical environmental risks, but can also effectively assess, prioritize and manage environmental risks, in a collective non partisan way.

This should be the first step nation’s needs to take to bring the necessary confidence in the environmental problem as well as the proposed solutions-

Let me know your thoughts

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Nations Governance becoming Ineffective and Irrelevant-

Nations are going through a time of rapid change, fierce competition and complex interrelated, integrated and interdependent risks in the global age. And in this time of change, nations lack the fundamental framework that is required for understanding these complex changes, fierce competition and interdependent interrelated risks. And nations are clueless and ignorant about this need for change. This has made nations governance almost ineffective and irrelevant.

The traditional approach of reactive regulations after crisis happens did not make sense in isolation age and does not make sense in global age. Any such reactive regulation lacks the fundamental capability of effectively controlling or managing any critical risks or crises; nor do they prevent any systems or markets failures.

Nations need to redefine the way it governs…

Let me know your thoughts. Please specify which nation you are addressing.

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Too big to fail: A global age challenge facing isolation age response

Global age has brought nations industries unprecedented opportunities to grow across national boundaries and becoming as some say “too big”-
There is a movement in some nations to prevent these industries from growing and becoming “too big”. While “too big to fail” is understandably creating fear and panic across nations, is this the right approach to prevent industry risks?
While nation’s tax payers should never have to bail out these industries under any circumstances, the question that arises is whether preventing growth and not letting industries become too big, a sensible solution?
It is important that nations understand global age challenges and propose effective global age solutions to global age problems. With an eye on the future I look forward to a meaningful dialogue to address critical global age risks. Let me know your thoughts.
Please specify which nation or industry you are addressing.

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Partisan policies puts nation’s @risk in a global age

Partisan policies put nations @ risk in a global age.

While the democratic party in United States have managed to pass a health care bill with questionable practices and procedures; the divided governance of United states, questionable practices of lawmakers, expanding role of government, increased government spending, expanding tentacles of socialism, and most important a divided nation, brings critical risks to United States of America.

United States has clearly failed in leading nations to a global age compatible policy design and implementation framework. This is probably the beginning of decline of United States leadership and its ability to lead in a global age-

With an eye on the future I look forward to a meaningful dialogue to address critical global risks. Let me know your thoughts.

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Nations governance and its role in nations recurring crisis-

Has nations reached a tipping point in the way they govern?

Recurring crisis across nations necessitates a need to redefine the way nations govern. It is time we understand, acknowledge and manage the complex governance challenges to our nations and effectively manage nation’s recurring crisis.

1. Do you see your nation’s governance playing a role in your nations recurring crisis?
2. Do you think your nation’s governance has the capability to understand and acknowledge your nations challenges?
3. Do you think any meaningful steps are being taken to manage the governance challenges of your nation?

Please specify which nation you are addressing.

With an eye on the future I look forward to a meaningful dialogue to address critical national governance risks. Let me know your thoughts.

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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ZOO LOGIC? – The animals perspective of Global Risk…

Dear Dr. Jayshree,
I am sending this children’s little story to be published at your Risk Blog:
Best regards,
Dr. Marcos

Since December 2008 I have created a site called “PULMAO SA which in English means LUNG-SA : ” Your atmosphere, Your Life ! “
Disposable at: http://www.pulmaosa.com.br

The site’s slogan sums up my role in trying to protect the “real atmosphere of the people, or, in other words, the air that is inside of us make up our real atmosphere.

The SA of the name has the objective to draw attention to the goal of our mission of providing information to the sector 3 S:

State (Government), SA (companies) and schools (children and youth). Thus could be able to build a network of protection around the smoker that permit quit smoking and even do not start this dependence on cigarettes or tobacco products.

As children are my main focus, I created some characters with universal values to talk and tell stories about the dangers of tabacco.

I would like to Invite everyone to know some of them in the litte story below:

ZOO LOGIC ?
Hey friends we will go to another visit to the Zoo but with new perpective: an animal perspective …In the monkeys’ cage monkeys are playing in the jump ropes and branches of trees and begin to observe a group of human adults and children who are “behind bars” draws attention to them …

children are playing with our friends “Lunggy Right”, “Lunggy 2″ and ” Hearty”!
“Lunggy Left” says: Hello, how are you?
Hearty says: I am fine.
Lunnggy Right is enchanted seeing one banana’s piece and also answer he’s also fine.
One of monkeys, the youngest one, call the Lunnggy Right’s attention about an unusual situation …

- “Right” !

-”What is that? “

Right asks: “What?”
The child monkey asked again:
“Right”, the adult human is on fire!

-Help him! Help him! Says the little monkey so afraid and worrying about that strange situation! Because as everybody knows, where there is smoke, there is fire!

Child Monkey, Hearty, Right and Left shouted:
” calls the fire department, call the elephants and seals! “

“Help! Heeeellllpp! “
Right and Left looked at where the “child monkey was pointing with all his ten fingers…
and in fact it seemed that that was a really true situation: an adult was just putting smoke out of your mouth!
Oh no, says another monkey, the adult is also putting smoke into the mouth!
- For the Veterinary’s sake! said the monkeys !

That situation also drew the attention of other zoo’s animals! You know about the perception sense of the animals…They simple know since they were little children what represent a danger, a hazard situation!
And what will they do when see the danger? They keep out the danger. And Fire represent one of greatest dangers to the life!
Right, Left and Heartty understood what are happening.
And explains that was a smoking situation. Smoking constitutes a terrible menace to the life!
All animals moving their heads up and down showing absolutely concordance with them.
Right calls a doctor named “Hakin” to explain that situation…
The Doctor “Hakin” was a medicine doctor.
And Doctor “Hakin” says: Childrrrennn!
“-In fact, both smoke and fire represent a hazard to our lives and also to our health!
* -Childrrennn!

“We MUST keep out of them!

*- People could not smoking!The smoking air contains a substance called Nico, Nico, Nico, AtchIN!(The doctor sneezing!). Sorry, Childrrrennn! As I am saying the smoking air contains NICOTINE!

The Little Elephant says: Oh no! Then, if an adult be smoking close to me could I become sick?
The Doctor “Hakin” says:- Unfortunately “yes”, Childrrrennn!
Little Elephant:-Oh, For veterinary’s sake! My little nose gonna be sick, SICK!
-I am feeling my nose will snooze because of that Nico, Nico, NICO ATCHIN !

Some Children says: -”Hey Right and Left & Heartty! We need start an Educational campaing against the tobacco smoking because it is a hazard thing to our Life, to our HEALTH and to the our atmosphere and the environment !
-We need as the animals take care of our Health and our Enviroment! Responsible Care!

Let’s create a Free Tobacco Zone in the Zoo! Here,Nobody likes smoke or fire ! This will protect the children and adults’ Health, and our friends Right, Left, Heartty !

The Little Monkey baby says: To this act a Great Yuupy Hurray!
From that day on, that Zoo was named by everybody as the Zoo LOGIC !

With All respect,

Dr. Marcos Nascimento,Md.
Chief Editor of http://www.pulmaosa.com.br
Attendence in Tobacco Treatment by Mayo Clinic
Respiratory Care Professor at college of Medicine of PUCPR
Curitiba-Brazil

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Risk prioritization and response: A global disconnect

Risks come in many forms at all levels across industries and nations. Appropriate risk response is vital for the survival and success of every nation. This is a time when every nation needs to be on an offensive, prepared to face not only the critical risks and issues threatening nations, its industries and communities, but also the resulting decline in economic development and threat to the nation’s very existence. It is not the crisis or risk itself, but rather the associated damages that follow exerts an enormous toll on not only survival but development and growth for any nation; irrespective of whether said nation is developed or developing.

Nations have witnessed many crises over the years facing their nations and the global community, and they have also witnessed misdirected efforts by decision makers to manage such crisis. This raises a very important question. Do the decision makers understand that knowing and talking about risks is one thing and pretending to resolve those risks is another. Risk response that is off target does not bring the expected results one way or another. There seems to be a fundamental disconnect between knowing risks, prioritizing them and having targeted risk response strategy. It is important to understand that just as risk prioritization matters, targeted risk response matters even more.

This makes it very important that every nation learn to manage the economic and development impacts of managing risks and crisis. Every nation needs to prepare for the major changes to come. It is time that nations provide a non-partisan disciplined environment for managing critical risks.

•Do you think there is a serious disconnect between what risks needs to be managed critically and what risks are being managed in your nation?
•Do you think the risk response to your nation’s risks is off target?

With an eye on the future I look forward to a meaningful dialogue to manage critical risks. Let me know your thoughts.

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Science research and development: Nations return on investment at risk in globalizing economies

While nations commit and spend a significant portion of their GDP on science research and development, there is no guarantee that the potential commercialization benefits will come to the investing nation. With increasing trend in global and transnational collaboration getting popular how can a nation ensure that its investment in nations R$D is bringing benefits and prosperity to its own nation?

•Do you think science research needs to be addressed as a business and proper safeguards needs to be in place to protect the fruits of it?
•Do you think the steps taken by your nation to protect its knowledge and findings are sufficient and effective?
•Do you think the commercial technologies coming out from publicly funded research be owned by public? Who do you think should control, profit and benefit from publicly funded research?

Let me know your thoughts. Please specify which nation you are addressing.
Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk advisor

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Global disconnect: Need to understand, acknowledge and manage interdependencies at all levels!!

There is a troubling disconnect at all levels from within and across nations to within and across industries to businesses. It is time we understand, acknowledge and manage the interdependencies be it within a business, within an industry or within a nation.

1.Do you see disconnect within your nation, its government, industries, organizations, academia (NGIOA)?
2.Do you think NGIOA within you nation has the capability to understand and acknowledge the interdependencies?
3.Do you think any meaningful steps are taken to manage the interdependencies within your NGIOA?
Please specify which nation or industry you are addressing.

With an eye on the future I look forward to a meaningful dialogue to address critical interdependency risks. Let me know your thoughts.

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Global anarchy: Nations at risk

Lack of global governance in a globalizing economy has put nations at risk. The current global recession not only impacts global investments and security but reverses the progress the nations had achieved so far.
In a resource constrained world, the path to global economic progress and prosperity seems to be dwindling as decision makers across the nations, sectors and governments have failed.
From democracy to socialism, communism and more; nations operate and govern with different ideology, structure, system and values that probably makes sense with their nations, its history, culture, heritage, values and challenges.
Global decision makers need to understand the diverse reality of each nation and jointly offer global solutions and structure that would be acceptable to each nation and establish a rule of much needed law, structure and regulation.
A lawful progressive co-existence of nations on this planet earth is called for the very survival of human existence.
Let me know your thoughts.
Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Irresponsible investment: An epidemic of great proportions

Irresponsible investments across the nations and industries have brought the global community facing debilitating choices today… Quick money and profit making has crossed the boundaries of human decency, personal responsibilities and accountability.There is a disconnect of great proportions among the decision makers across the nations and industries.

•Do you think irresponsible investors and investment has something to do with the global crisis?
•Do you think Risk Centric Audit should be mandatory for any investment?
•Do you think your nation and its industries have the capability to understand the investment risks in the globalizing economies?

Let me know your thoughts. Please specify which nation you are addressing.

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Market manipulation risks-Need for an effective global market surveillance system

Nations needs to better manage market manipulation and manipulators in globalizing markets and economies. Controlling, exposing and eradicating market manipulation is vital to the success of any nation and global markets.
• Do you think an effective integrated global surveillance system for monitoring market manipulation and fraud in the global integrated markets is needed?
• Do you think market manipulation and manipulators can be controlled and managed in your nation?
• Do you think we need new legislation to manage market manipulation?
Let me know your thoughts. Please specify which nation you are addressing.
Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Need for integration and centralization of public/private science research findings…

Progressive research is a blessing to society.
The research challenges nations face in globalizing economies calls for some fundamental common sense in the approach that science takes globally. Science, business and government needs to work hand in hand. Science and business needs are complementary and it is important that they are clearly communicated, goal oriented and constructively met. Integrating, securing, safeguarding and centralizing the research findings of public/private research needs to be a national priority. It is also equally important that there is accountability in science research funding.
This will help in:
1. Avoidance of investments in already solved science research problems
2. Prevent loss in intellectual property due to mismanaged research priorities by both public/private (universities as well as industry)
3. Allow cross industry research /innovation access
4. Meet national and global science goals

What is the state of science within your nation? What are the risks and challenges you see in science research/innovation within your nation?
Let me know your thoughts. Please specify which nation you are addressing.
Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Globalizing economies: Rise and fall of nations

In a global age, the role of nation’s government should be to remove obstacles for business/industries/investors and assist business/industries/investors in competing successfully across their nations boundaries.

Depending on the challenges/obstacles that business/industries/investors face within their own nation, what do you think is the status of your nation?

• Which nations do you think will be winners and losers under the circumstances?
• Which business/industry/investment you see facing challenges within your nation?
• What potential risks you see of any such development?
• Which nations will rise and fall in the coming years?

Please specify which nation you are addressing
Let me know your thoughts.
Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

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Global Financial Crisis- What actions should your nation take to bring back that investor confidence?

United States probably had the best capital markets in the world. These capital markets coupled with innovation drive stimulated not only healthy competition and great innovations but enabled sound economic viability and the fundamental vitality of this great nation.

 The confidence, quality, breadth and depth of the United States markets attracted global investors and investment capital for many years. However United States market’s fundamentals, its operating integrity, regulation, and confidence has been seriously questioned with the current global financial crisis and has shaken investor confidence.

This would undoubtedly create challenges for not only USA but many nations in attracting investments. The globalizing economies and the realities of today’s markets demand some fundamental changes in how nations, its governments, its industries and markets should function and operate.

 What changes do you believe are critical for your nation? What critical barriers do you see that need to be overcome? What should your nation do to attract not only global investment but stay competitive in the global economy? What actions should your nation take to bring back that investor confidence?

Please specify which Nation you are addressing.

 Let me know your thoughts.

 Jayshree Pandya PhD

Global Risk Advisor

 

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Deficit Dive-Nations at Risk

Nations and its industries are competing fiercely in globalizing economies. There are key indicators that define each nation’s health-how would you rate your nation’s health?  (Going Global-10 points/Going Local-3 points/No clue-0 points)

What is the state of Trade, Budget, Innovation, Industry and Investment within your nation? What is your nation’s strategy to deal with deficits if any?

  • Trade Deficit
  • Budget Deficit
  • Innovation Deficit
  • Investment Deficit
  • Industry Deficit

Let me know your thoughts

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

 

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Are Welfare Nations at Risk in Globalizing Economies?

Globalization and rapidly changing environment is probably necessitating need for limits or elimination on social spending by nations and its governments.

Significant changes are occurring globally from the way we work, the way we learn to the way we adapt. Amidst these changing global fundamentals, Nations, its industries and businesses are struggling to stay competitive and profitable. It is therefore very important that nations and its governments maintain or create a business friendly environment within their respective nations.

Social welfare programs are directly proportional to higher taxes. In the pursuit of getting votes and staying in power, Nations and its governments irresponsibly increase taxes to finance social spending agenda. When nation’s policies fail to adapt to changing global fundamentals and governments deliberately use welfare and other social programs as a tactic to get votes and stay in power, there are significant risks that nation’s faces in the globalizing economies.

Nations need to create an environment of growth, competition, education, employment, opportunity, innovation and adaptation over welfare and dependencies.

Do you think Social Welfare should be a role of government in your nation? Do you think social welfare can be done better by Philanthropia and non government organizations?

Let me know your thoughts.

Jayshree Pandya PhD
Global Risk Advisor

 

 

 

 

 

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The Promise of Biotechnology

Biotechnology offers immense opportunities for the improvement of human abilities and its quality of life. The expected revolution holds out the promise of an exciting new world that has the potential of enormous impact for the benefit of humankind. This industry promises to make significant contributions to the quality of human life; what we eat, what we wear, how we live and so on. The advantages, applications and promise of biotechnology are broad and compelling and the risks are clearly not understood, managed or regulated.  It is this opportunity and risk that is stirring a global anxiety.

Every nation and its decision makers need to answer some very fundamental questions:

·               Do we have appropriate regulations for this industry? What regulations need to be changed /developed? What will be its impact? Who is expected to address the industry risks? Industry leaders? Government Officials? Others? What will be the government’s role in the emerging industry?

·               Are the social and economic consequences of changes brought by biotechnology industry adequately evaluated? Is there a process of public scrutiny of the existing and potential new technologies, before it is approved for commercial production?

·               Are the industry risks assessed and found worth the benefits? Does this technology pose existential threats?

·               Will the global community accept biotechnology and its products? Are we doing enough to educate the global community? Should there be a structured effort to educate the global community? Who will fund this effort?

·               How can nations and its governments support the introduction of a new technology/science/industry if it cannot evaluate and calculate its inherent risks? What needs to be done to change this scenario? What specific tools need to be developed to address the challenges of this industry?

·               Who is doing the industry planning? Do we have right tools, right processes and right skilled practitioners?

·               What changes this emerging industry will bring globally and how will it shape the future of respective nations, and their domestic markets?

·               How will the world economy be affected? What are the risks of economic disruption? What will be the response to the possible disruption?

As the industry continues to march forward and grow, it is important for Nations, its governments, industries, organizations and academia (NGIOA) to understand all possible risk variables and the future direction of the industry, particularly in terms of the impact the industry, technology and its products have or will have on the human race.

 What are your nations plans to effectively manage biotechnology industry risks? Let me know your thoughts.

Jayshree Pandya PhD

Global Risk Advisor

 

 

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Changing Face of HealthCare Industry in a Borderless World

Globalization, rapid advances in information and communications technology, and a strong market need for rapid cost effective healthcare services are changing the face of Healthcare industry in a borderless world. 

 From Health care services (e.g. cross country consultations of specialists, expert consultation in diagnosis, remote assistance in surgeries etc), to products and supplies (e.g. prescription drugs, over the counter drugs, bandages, intravenous bags, hospital beds, healthcare software, diagnostic equipment etc), to investment in research and development going global, has been just some of the many areas of Health care crossing borders.

 It is also these very globalizing activities within the health care industry that bring nations and the global community the potential of deadly global pandemics. With the borders so porous and the unstoppable globalization, outbreaks of any communicable disease in one region has the potential to quickly spread all around the globe and can put the nations, its governments and healthcare authorities on edge all over the world. Nations and its governments need to have a better understanding and be prepared to face the challenges to its national health as well as understand the impact of the changing face of health care industry on their nation’s economy.

 It is also very important to help mature the healthcare system of the developing countries and to have international cooperation that will lead to transparent data, quick information and effective communication regarding disease outbreaks and possible response and control efforts in both animal as well as human populations in a timely efficient manner. There also needs to be a better understanding and education of the healthcare risks involved at a local, national, regional and global level.

 What are your nations plans to effectively manage healthcare industry risks? Let me know your thoughts

Jayshree Pandya PhD

Global Risk Advisor

 

 

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Global business challenges and a need to re-define the role of government…

Global business challenges and a need to re-define the role of government…

As business faces the challenges of global competition, there is a strong need to re-define the role of government and business-government relationship. What do you think should be the role of government and business-government relationship amidst the globalization challenges?

Let me know your thoughts. Please specify which nation you are addressing.

Jayshree Pandya PhD

Global Risk Advisor

 

 

 

 

 

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